Mortgage Interest Rates Forecast

Groundhog looking forward

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Updated
Profile photo of Kate Wood
Written by Kate Wood
Lead Writer/Spokesperson
Profile photo of Jeanette Margle
Edited by Jeanette Margle
Head of Content, Home Loans

Mortgage rates this week

Mortgage rates fell slightly the week ending February 20. This was a pretty mild drop: Think bunny slope, not black diamond.

  • The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.79% APR, down five basis points from the previous week's average, according to rates provided to NerdWallet by Zillow. A basis point is one one-hundredth of a percentage point.

  • The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.03% APR, down two basis points from the previous week's average.

  • The 5-year adjustable-rate mortgage averaged 7.19% APR, down seven basis points from the previous week's average.

The average 30-year fixed rate is the lowest we've seen yet this year — and if that feels underwhelming, that's because it is. Mortgage interest rates haven't moved much in 2025. The low we're seeing this week is about a quarter of a percentage point removed from the high rates hit in mid January. While it's nice to see lower mortgage rates, this movement isn't likely to propel many home buyers into action.

Mortgage loans from our partners

NBKC - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on NBKC

NBKC

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
NBKC - PURCHASE logo

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
620

Min. down payment 
3%

Check Rate

on NBKC

New American Funding - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on New American Funding

New American Funding

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
New American Funding - PURCHASE logo

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
500

Min. down payment 
3.5%

Check Rate

on New American Funding

GO Mortgage - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on GO Mortgage

GO Mortgage

4.0

NerdWallet rating 
GO Mortgage - PURCHASE logo

4.0

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
620

Min. down payment 
3%

Check Rate

on GO Mortgage

Mortgage loans from our partners

NBKC - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on NBKC

NBKC

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
NBKC - PURCHASE logo

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
620

Min. down payment 
3%

Check Rate

on NBKC

New American Funding - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on New American Funding

New American Funding

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
New American Funding - PURCHASE logo

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
500

Min. down payment 
3.5%

Check Rate

on New American Funding

GO Mortgage - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on GO Mortgage

GO Mortgage

4.0

NerdWallet rating 
GO Mortgage - PURCHASE logo

4.0

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
620

Min. down payment 
3%

Check Rate

on GO Mortgage

Rocket Mortgage - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on Rocket Mortgage

Rocket Mortgage

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
Rocket Mortgage - PURCHASE logo

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
580

Min. down payment 
3.5%

Check Rate

on Rocket Mortgage

Veterans United - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on Veterans United

Veterans United

5.0

NerdWallet rating 
Veterans United - PURCHASE logo

5.0

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
620

Min. down payment 
0%

Check Rate

on Veterans United

February mortgage rate forecast

Mortgage rates drifted downward in February until the January CPI was released showing a rise in the inflation rate. That quickly led investors to nudge mortgage rates higher to compensate for the risk of continuing price increases.

Forecasters had expected core CPI to fall to 3.1% in January, down from 3.2% the previous month. But with core CPI increasing to 3.3% year-over-year in January, we could see mortgage rates trending upward or sideways for a while.

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