Mortgage Interest Rates Forecast

Computer, Electronics, Laptop

Some or all of the mortgage lenders featured on our site are advertising partners of NerdWallet, but this does not influence our evaluations, lender star ratings or the order in which lenders are listed on the page. Our opinions are our own. Here is a list of our partners.

Updated
Profile photo of Taylor Getler
Written by Taylor Getler
Writer
Profile photo of Dawnielle Robinson-Walker
Assistant Assigning Editor

Mortgage rates this week

Mortgage rates rose in the week ending Jan. 16, with the average 30-year mortgage rate reaching over 7% for the first time since May 2024.

  • The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 7.06% APR, up 13 basis points from the previous week's average, according to rates provided to NerdWallet by Zillow. A basis point is one one-hundredth of a percentage point.

  • The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.26% APR, up eight basis points from the previous week's average.

  • The 5-year adjustable-rate mortgage averaged 7.41% APR, up seven basis points from the previous week's average.

Mortgage interest rates clearly did not make a resolution to slim down in the new year. In fact, the average 30-year mortgage rate hit its highest point in nearly eight months. It might not all be doom and gloom, though — core data from the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report has surprised economists, showing that inflation decelerated for the first time in four months during December. It’s probably not enough to convince the Fed to go ahead with another rate cut in January, but it does bolster the possibility of a cut in March.

Mortgage loans from our partners

NBKC - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on NBKC

NBKC

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
NBKC - PURCHASE logo

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
620

Min. down payment 
3%

Check Rate

on NBKC

New American Funding - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on New American Funding

New American Funding

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
New American Funding - PURCHASE logo

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
500

Min. down payment 
3.5%

Check Rate

on New American Funding

GO Mortgage - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on GO Mortgage

GO Mortgage

4.0

NerdWallet rating 
GO Mortgage - PURCHASE logo

4.0

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
620

Min. down payment 
3%

Check Rate

on GO Mortgage

Mortgage loans from our partners

NBKC - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on NBKC

NBKC

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
NBKC - PURCHASE logo

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
620

Min. down payment 
3%

Check Rate

on NBKC

New American Funding - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on New American Funding

New American Funding

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
New American Funding - PURCHASE logo

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
500

Min. down payment 
3.5%

Check Rate

on New American Funding

GO Mortgage - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on GO Mortgage

GO Mortgage

4.0

NerdWallet rating 
GO Mortgage - PURCHASE logo

4.0

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
620

Min. down payment 
3%

Check Rate

on GO Mortgage

Rocket Mortgage - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on Rocket Mortgage

Rocket Mortgage

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
Rocket Mortgage - PURCHASE logo

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
580

Min. down payment 
3.5%

Check Rate

on Rocket Mortgage

Veterans United - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on Veterans United

Veterans United

5.0

NerdWallet rating 
Veterans United - PURCHASE logo

5.0

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
620

Min. down payment 
0%

Check Rate

on Veterans United

January mortgage rate forecast

Mortgage rates might ride up and down in January and finish lower than where they started.

In December, the Federal Reserve hinted that it will cut short-term rates just half a percentage point throughout 2025, surprising investors who previously had expected larger cuts. The Fed's revised projections led to a jump in mortgage rates. When mortgage rates climb rapidly in response to the unexpected, they sometimes overdo it before falling back down.

January's change in presidential administrations dials up the uncertainty; mortgage rates tend to be more volatile in uncertain times.

Fannie Mae has a discouraging note for home buyers who yearn for yesteryear's rates: "We forecast the average mortgage rate to remain above 6 percent in 2025," the company said in a statement.

Video preview image
Get more smart money moves – straight to your inbox
Sign up and we’ll send you Nerdy articles about the money topics that matter most to you along with other ways to help you get more from your money.