Mortgage Interest Rates Forecast

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Written by Kate Wood
Lead Writer/Spokesperson
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Edited by Jeanette Margle
Lead Assigning Editor

Mortgage rates this week

Mortgage rates remained more or less flat the week ending January 30, with only slight shifts up or down.

  • The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.92% APR, down two basis points from the previous week's average, according to rates provided to NerdWallet by Zillow. A basis point is one one-hundredth of a percentage point.

  • The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.11% APR, up three basis points from the previous week's average.

  • The 5-year adjustable-rate mortgage averaged 7.3% APR, up one basis point from the previous week's average.

On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve chose to maintain the federal funds rate's current level. This was so widely expected that the only drama was over changes in the wording of the Fed's statement, which Chairman Jerome Powell explained away as "a little language cleanup." Close observers of the central bank noticed that 10 words about inflation's progress downward had been removed.

Mortgage interest rates have pretty much ignored the past few Fed announcements, and that pattern continued with this meeting. So far this year, we haven't seen decisive movements from mortgage rates, period: The 30-year fixed-rate flirted with the 7% threshold, but overall rates have stayed within a fairly limited 30-basis-point range. If economic indicators start to take a more definitive path in February, we could see larger movements from mortgage rates.

Mortgage loans from our partners

NBKC - PURCHASE logo
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on NBKC

NBKC

4.5

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NBKC - PURCHASE logo

4.5

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620

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3%

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on NBKC

New American Funding - PURCHASE logo
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on New American Funding

New American Funding

4.5

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New American Funding - PURCHASE logo

4.5

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500

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3.5%

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on New American Funding

GO Mortgage - PURCHASE logo
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on GO Mortgage

GO Mortgage

4.0

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GO Mortgage - PURCHASE logo

4.0

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620

Min. down payment 
3%

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on GO Mortgage

Mortgage loans from our partners

NBKC - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on NBKC

NBKC

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
NBKC - PURCHASE logo

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
620

Min. down payment 
3%

Check Rate

on NBKC

New American Funding - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on New American Funding

New American Funding

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
New American Funding - PURCHASE logo

4.5

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
500

Min. down payment 
3.5%

Check Rate

on New American Funding

GO Mortgage - PURCHASE logo
Check Rate

on GO Mortgage

GO Mortgage

4.0

NerdWallet rating 
GO Mortgage - PURCHASE logo

4.0

NerdWallet rating 
Min. credit score 
620

Min. down payment 
3%

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on GO Mortgage

Rocket Mortgage - PURCHASE logo
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on Rocket Mortgage

Rocket Mortgage

4.5

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Rocket Mortgage - PURCHASE logo

4.5

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Min. credit score 
580

Min. down payment 
3.5%

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on Rocket Mortgage

Veterans United - PURCHASE logo
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on Veterans United

Veterans United

5.0

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Veterans United - PURCHASE logo

5.0

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Min. credit score 
620

Min. down payment 
0%

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on Veterans United

January mortgage rate forecast

Mortgage rates have ridden slightly up and down in January but finished basically where they started.

In December, the Federal Reserve hinted that it will cut short-term rates just half a percentage point throughout 2025, surprising investors who previously had expected larger cuts. The Fed's revised projections led to a jump in mortgage rates. When mortgage rates climb rapidly in response to the unexpected, they sometimes overdo it before falling back down.

January's change in presidential administrations also dialed up the uncertainty; mortgage rates tend to be more volatile in uncertain times.

Fannie Mae has a discouraging note for home buyers who yearn for yesteryear's rates: "We forecast the average mortgage rate to remain above 6 percent in 2025," the company said in a statement.

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