Mortgage Interest Rates Forecast

Updated
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Written by Holden Lewis
Senior Writer/Spokesperson
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Edited by Jeanette Margle
Lead Assigning Editor
Fact Checked

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Mortgage rates this week

Mortgage rates dropped in the week ending Aug. 29 as markets became increasingly convinced that the Federal Reserve will cut short-term interest rates in mid-September.

  • The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.27% APR, down 11 basis points from the previous week's average, according to rates provided to NerdWallet by Zillow. A basis point is one one-hundredth of a percentage point.

  • The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 5.46% APR, down 12 basis points from the previous week's average.

  • The 5-year adjustable-rate mortgage averaged 7.56% APR, down two basis points from the previous week's average.

The Fed's chair, Jerome Powell, said in a speech Aug. 23 that the time has come to reduce the overnight federal funds rate. Mortgage rates fell in response. Markets expect rate cuts at each of the Fed's three remaining meetings this year, offering mortgage rates more room to decline over the coming months.

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September mortgage rate forecast

Mortgage rates have fallen four months in a row, and they'll probably extend the streak by going down in September too. There are two related reasons: Inflation is subsiding, and the Federal Reserve is about to reduce short-term interest rates.

A combination of falling inflation and rising unemployment has pushed mortgage rates lower and convinced the Federal Reserve that it should cut short-term interest rates sooner rather than later to prevent too many job losses.

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