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Alberta mortgage rate update: January 2025
Mortgage rates in Alberta have been relatively stable to begin 2025. That might not be the case for long.
Variable mortgage rates could take another 25-basis point dip on January 29, when the Bank of Canada delivers its next overnight rate decision. If that’s the case, Canada’s lowest variable mortgage rates will fall to almost 4%.
The Bank was quite aggressive in its rate reductions to end 2024, so it’s possible it holds off in January to allow the economy to fully absorb its October and December’s cuts.
Fixed mortgage rates could be heading in the opposite direction. Government bond yields, which dictate three-and five-year fixed mortgage rates, rose significantly in early January and could force lenders to increase their fixed rate offers.
For now, fixed mortgage rates are fairly approachable, with some mortgage brokerages offering three-year fixed rates and five-year fixed rates around 4.1%.
Historical trend: New mortgage loans in Alberta
The average mortgage rate in Alberta
There’s no single average for mortgage rates in Alberta. Even if you had access to all the current mortgage rates being offered by lenders in Alberta, it wouldn’t be much help when you’re mortgage shopping. That’s because the mortgage offer you receive is always specific to you and takes into account multiple factors like your credit score, the type of mortgage you want and the amount you need to borrow.
Think about the “average mortgage rate” the way you would Alberta’s average home price. It’s interesting data to have, but it’s not necessarily relevant to your own home buying journey.
2025 Alberta mortgage rate forecast
Variable mortgage rates
After the Bank of Canada’s fifth consecutive overnight rate cut on December 11, 2024, variable mortgage rates were down 1.75% since June. That’s a lot of action from a central bank with a conservative reputation.
The Bank likely won’t be as aggressive in 2025, as it has to wait for its most recent cuts to work their way through the economy. The overnight rate might decrease by another 50 basis points in the first half of 2025, which would bring variable mortgage rates down by another 0.5%.
Fixed mortgage rates
Because they’re determined by the government bond market, which is driven by investors’ decisions, fixed mortgage rates can be difficult to project over the long-term.
The mortgage brokers NerdWallet spoke to at the end of 2024 all expect fixed mortgage rates to remain relatively static for the next several months. That assumption, however, flies in the face of evidence from the government bond market. Bond yields, which determine fixed mortgage rates, cratered for three weeks straight starting on November 21. When yields fall consistently, it gives lenders the wiggle room to lower their fixed rates.
So, fixed rates could fall to begin the year, but lenders might keep them at current levels for a strategic reason: Lower fixed rates might entice home buyers away from the more expensive variable-rate mortgages they’ve been gobbling up to end 2024.
Alberta housing market update
Average home prices in Alberta
The average residential home price in Alberta was $500,173 in November, according to the Alberta Real Estate Association — a gain of 11.3% since last November. Detached homes cost $580,234 on average, and apartments cost $287,995 on average. The average residential price in specific markets includes:
- Calgary: $615,757.
- Edmonton: $407,768.
- Lethbridge: $382,908.
Alberta home sales and price forecast
In 2024, falling variable mortgage rates gave home buyers some relief. If the Bank of Canada keeps cutting in 2025, some rate relief would follow. On the other hand, home prices have remained stubbornly high, even amid high rates. Would a more active market push home prices even higher, offsetting the benefit of lower rates? Will another factor, like a pathway to increased housing supply, break the logjam?
Untangling these questions isn’t easy, but real estate pros try to factor in these and other variables as they make forecasts for the coming year.
A survey of RE/MAX agents and brokers suggested prices will rise in Calgary (5%) and Edmonton (10%) in 2025.[1]
Real estate brokerage Royal LePage projects a “more balanced market compared to the frenzied conditions of 2021 and 2022,” with home prices trending “modestly upward.” Phil Soper, president and CEO of Royal LePage, wrote in a press release that he expects the Bank of Canada to cut another 100 basis points from its overnight by the end of 2025, which would further push down borrowing costs for those with variable rates.[2]
The company’s 2025 forecast calls for a busy spring in Calgary, where the company sees aggregate home prices rising 4% in the fourth quarter of 2025, compared to the same quarter in 2024. Edmonton’s job market and relatively affordable housing have made it a popular place for Canadians to relocate; Royal LePage expects prices to rise 9% in the fourth quarter of 2025, compared to the same quarter in 2024.
Alberta first-time home buyer programs
Some first-time home buyers in Alberta can take advantage of assistance programs offered by both regional and government programs. For example, Attainable Homes Calgary (AHC) helps people with a household income of up to $131,424 fund a down payment. If you sell your home later, you repay AHC the loaned amount plus a portion of any equity appreciation.
Land transfer taxes in Alberta
Alberta’s government charges a fee to process the transfer of the property title: a $50 base fee plus $2 for every $5,000 of the sale price. So, a $400,000 home would cost $210.[3]
Guide to Alberta mortgage rates
Types of lenders in Alberta
Mortgage lenders in Alberta tend to fall into four categories, which include:
- Large chartered banks such as Scotiabank, RBC and TD.
- Credit unions such as Bow Valley Credit Union and connectFirst Credit Union.
- B lenders that work with borrowers with lower credit scores, such as MCAN and Equitable Bank.
- Private lenders, who typically deal with borrowers in need of short-term funding.
Types of mortgages in Alberta
Fixed-rate mortgages
With a fixed mortgage, the interest rate stays the same for the duration of the mortgage term, even when the market fluctuates. Fixed rates typically:
- Tend to be higher than variable interest rates.
- Can provide a greater sense of certainty because they remain the same for the length of the mortgage term.
Variable-rate mortgages
Variable mortgage rates can increase or decrease throughout the length of your term, depending on your lender’s prime rate. Variable-rate mortgages typically have rates that:
- Are lower than fixed rates, and historically, they’ve been known to save borrowers money over the length of their mortgage — if rates remain the same or fall.
- Can increase, sometimes significantly, throughout a mortgage term. When interest rates go up, the monthly payment on a variable-rate mortgage can become more expensive.
» MORE: The difference between fixed- and variable-rate mortgages
Hybrid-rate mortgages
For these mortgages, one portion of your mortgage is subject to a variable rate and the other portion is at a fixed rate of interest. These mortgages:
- Can help moderate the impacts of fluctuating interest rates in a particularly turbulent or uncertain economy.
- Tend to be more difficult to transfer between lenders.
Insured and uninsured mortgages
You must insure your mortgage if you’re buying a home under $1 million with a down payment of less than 20%. Mortgage insurance adds to the cost of your loan. The amount you’ll pay is a percentage of your mortgage amount, and the percentage depends on your down payment — the closer it is to 20%, the smaller the percentage is.
Homes worth $1 million or more require a minimum down payment of 20%, so insurance is not required.
Short-term and long-term mortgages
Short-term mortgages are those that are five years or less, while long-term mortgages are those that are over five years. Shorter mortgage terms mean you need to renew your contract sooner, which can also provide flexibility. Plus, short-term mortgages often have lower interest rates than long-term mortgage rates.
Closed and open mortgages
The main difference between closed and open mortgages is that you can pay off an open mortgage whenever you like and not pay a penalty; if you make additional payments on a closed mortgage, you’ll generally be penalized.
Closed mortgages often offer better rates than open mortgages. But open rate mortgages may be a good option if you think you may be able to pay off your mortgage early.
How Alberta lenders determine mortgage rates
The mortgage rate you’re offered in Alberta will be based on two primary factors; one based on the state of the economy and one based on your financial situation.
Economic factors
Variable mortgage rates are influenced by the Bank of Canada’s overnight rate. When the overnight rate increases or decreases, a lender’s prime rate follows suit. Variable mortgage rates are based on a lender’s prime rate, so as the prime rate rises or falls, so do variable rates.
Fixed mortgage rates are determined by activity in the government bond market, particularly the yields on one-, three- and five-year bonds. Fixed mortgage rates follow the movement of those yields.
Your financial situation
Factors specific to you also affect the rates you’re offered. These include:
- Your credit score.
- Your income.
- Your total debts.
- The loan type you choose.
- The amount you’re borrowing.
- The term length and amortization period of your loan.
Lenders look for signs of risk when assessing these aspects of your finances. The riskier they perceive you to be as a borrower, the higher the rate they’re likely to offer you.
» COMPARE: Current Mortgage Rates in Calgary, Alberta
How to qualify for a lower mortgage rate in Alberta
While some factors that affect rates are beyond your control, there are things you can do to encourage lenders to offer you the best mortgage rates. For example, you can:
- Improve your credit score. To start, pay down any outstanding debt and pay off every bill in full.
- Increase your income. This isn’t always easy, but any additional income will improve your financial position.
- Decrease your total debts. Lenders consider your total debt load when determining the details of your loan.
- Consider all your options. See if adjusting the loan type, the term length or the amortization period of your loan could help.
Factors that affect mortgage affordability in Alberta
A home’s price and the rate you’re offered aren’t the only factors that affect how much mortgage you can afford. You’ll also have to account for the following components, which play a role in all mortgages.
Debt service ratios
Lenders use debt service ratios to determine how much of your income goes toward paying debt. If those ratios are too high, you may not qualify for the mortgage amount you need.
Car loans, credit cards and lines of credit are all examples of debt that require regular payments. Decreasing some of these balances, or relying less heavily on credit, can help you lower your debt service ratios.
The mortgage stress test
You will have to pass the mortgage stress test if you want a home purchase funded by a federally regulated financial institution.
The rules of the stress test say you must qualify for a mortgage at a minimum qualifying rate of either 5.25% or the rate you’re offered plus 2%, whichever is higher. If a lender offers you a rate of 5%, for example, you’ll have to demonstrate you can afford the same mortgage at 7%.
You may be able to avoid the stress test if you apply for a mortgage with a lender that is not federally regulated, like a credit union.
Your down payment
Your down payment is a critically important factor in determining mortgage affordability. The more you can put down, the less you’ll need to borrow. Your monthly mortgage payment will likely be smaller, and you’ll pay less in interest.
Mortgage term
The term is the length of time your mortgage contract is valid. In Canada, mortgage terms can run anywhere from six months to as long as 10 years.
Chances are that your mortgage will have multiple terms during the amortization period until you pay it off in full. Once your mortgage term ends, you can pay your loan off in full, renew it or refinance it.
Amortization period
A mortgage’s amortization period is the time it will take to pay off the loan in full. In Canada, the most common amortization period is 25 years. If your down payment is less than 20%, you can’t have an amortization beyond 25 years.
If your down payment is greater than 20%, you may find some lenders willing to offer amortization periods of up to 35 years.
Why would you want a longer amortization period? The longer your mortgage lasts, the smaller your monthly payment will be. You’ll pay more in interest, but that might be a worthwhile trade-off if it helps you keep your home.
Frequently asked questions for Alberta mortgage rates
As of January 2025, you can find fixed mortgage rates in Alberta for around 4.3% and variable mortgage rates for around 4.5%. The rate offers you receive depend on factors like your credit score, total debt level and income, and whether you apply for your mortgage with a Big Six bank or through a mortgage broker.
Mortgage rates are expected to decrease somewhat in the first half of 2025. The Bank of Canada might reduce its overnight rate another two times, which would lower variable mortgage rates by 0.5% versus today’s levels. Fixed mortgage rates will likely continue hovering between 4% and 4.5%. for much of next year.
Article Sources
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RE/MAX, “2025 Canadian Housing Market Outlook,” accessed January 17, 2025.
-
Royal LePage, “Rates, regulations and renewed demand: Driving revival of Canada’s real estate market despite economic and political uncertainty,” accessed January 17, 2025.
-
Government of Alberta, “Land Titles Act,” accessed September 11, 2024.
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