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New Brunswick mortgage rate update: December 2024
The Bank of Canada delivered an early Christmas present for New Brunswick’s variable-rate mortgage fans on December 11, when it reduced its overnight rate by 50 basis points. When the rate cut is absorbed by lenders, variable rates should decrease by 0.5%.
That will bring the lowest advertised variable rates down to around 4.3% at some mortgage brokerages. Variable rates remain closer to 5% at the country’s biggest banks. Another rate cut could be in the cards for January, when the Bank is scheduled to make its next overnight rate announcement.
Fixed rates aren’t quite as exciting these days. Even though bond yields, which determine fixed mortgage rates, have cratered over the past several weeks, lenders haven’t lowered their fixed rates in response. Canada’s lowest advertised five-year fixed rates are currently around 4.15%.
Shorter-term fixed rates, the option of choice among many recent home buyers, will cost you a little more. (That’s the unfortunate result of higher demand.) Two-year terms might cost 4.89% or more, while one-year terms are closer to 6%.
Historical trend: New mortgage loans in New Brunswick
The average mortgage rate in New Brunswick
There’s not much value in calculating the average mortgage rate in New Brunswick. It would include every mortgage type and term length from every lender, including the above-average rates associated with open mortgages and private mortgages. Most of this info won’t be relevant to your borrowing situation.
The only rates that matter are the ones that might apply to the mortgage you hope to be approved for. If you’re interested in a variable-rate mortgage, for example, compare variable mortgage rates. If you’re looking for more stability, compare fixed rates according to term length. Specific comparisons like these will give you more relevant information to work with.
Your mortgage rate will ultimately be determined by your finances, so it doesn’t really matter what other people are paying.
2025 New Brunswick mortgage rate forecast
Variable mortgage rates
After the Bank of Canada’s fifth consecutive overnight rate cut on December 11, 2024, variable mortgage rates were down 1.75% since June. That’s a lot of action from a central bank with a conservative reputation.
The Bank likely won’t be as aggressive in 2025, as it has to wait for its most recent cuts to work their way through the economy. The overnight rate might decrease by another 50 basis points in the first half of 2025, which would bring variable mortgage rates down by another 0.5%.
Fixed mortgage rates
Because they’re determined by the government bond market, which is driven by investors’ decisions, fixed mortgage rates can be difficult to project over the long-term.
The mortgage brokers NerdWallet spoke to at the end of 2024 all expect fixed mortgage rates to remain relatively static for the next several months. That assumption, however, flies in the face of evidence from the government bond market. Bond yields, which determine fixed mortgage rates, cratered for three weeks straight starting on November 21. When yields fall consistently, it gives lenders the wiggle room to lower their fixed rates.
So, fixed rates could fall to begin the year, but lenders might keep them at current levels for a strategic reason: Lower fixed rates might entice home buyers away from the more expensive variable-rate mortgages they’ve been gobbling up to end 2024.
New Brunswick housing market update: December 2024
Despite having access to lower variable mortgage rates, home buyers were relatively inactive in New Brunswick. The number of home sales was virtually unchanged versus November 2023, and well below the five- and 10-year averages for the month, according to the New Brunswick Real Estate Board. Home sales rose by more than 14% year-over-year in Fredericton, but showed no change in Moncton and fell by almost 9% in Saint John.
The average sale price in New Brunswick in November was $315,388. The average prices in the province’s biggest cities were:
- Fredericton: $326,882.
- Saint John: $332,520.
- Moncton: $355,482.
New Brunswick home sales and price forecast
The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) expects a 6.0% price increase in New Brunswick this year, up from 3.0% in 2023. That pace is expected to cool a bit next year, with prices rising 3.4% in 2025.
New Brunswick first-time home buyer programs
New Brunswick’s Homeownership Assistance Program (HAP), is intended for first-time home buyers earning a total household income of $40,000 or less. Those living in substandard housing units are also eligible.
The HAP offers loans of up to $75,000, which are meant to be combined with mortgage financing. No interest is charged on the HAP loan if the borrower’s income is less than $30,000; the interest rate increases by 0.5% for every $1,000 in adjusted income beyond $30,000. HAP loans are expected to be paid back within 25 years.
A similar program, the Off-Reserve Aboriginal Home Ownership Program, is available for Indigenous New Brunswick residents interested in buying or building their first home. To qualify, borrowers must earn a total household income of $55,000 or less, and have a shelter cost-to-income ratio no higher than 30%.
If you’re not eligible for these provincial programs, consider investigating federal initiatives such as the Home Buyers’ Plan or the First Home Savings Account. These tools can be combined, so it might be worth studying both to see which ones fit your goals and finances.
Land transfer taxes in New Brunswick
The current land transfer tax rate in New Brunswick is 1% of either a property’s agreed upon sale price or its assessed value, whichever is higher.
Guide to New Brunswick mortgage rates
Types of lenders in New Brunswick
Mortgage lenders in New Brunswick tend to fall into four categories, which include:
- Large chartered banks such as Scotiabank, RBC and TD.
- Credit unions such as OMISTA Credit Union and Brunswick Credit Union.
- B lenders that work with borrowers with lower credit scores, such as MCAN and Equitable Bank.
- Private lenders, who typically deal with borrowers in need of short-term funding.
Types of mortgages in New Brunswick
Fixed-rate mortgages
With a fixed-rate mortgage, the rate stays the same for the duration of the mortgage term, even if rates fluctuate.
Fixed rates provide certainty, which can make them easier to budget around than variable mortgage rates. That certainty comes at a price, though: Outside a few exceptions, fixed rates have historically been higher than variable rates.
Variable-rate mortgages
Variable mortgage rates rise or fall depending on which direction your lender’s prime rate moves. Depending on the state of the economy, a variable rate can increase or decrease multiple times during a mortgage term.
Variable rates are risky, which is why they’re typically lower than fixed rates. In a high-inflation environment, when lenders’ prime rates are driven upward by increases to the Bank of Canada’s overnight rate, variable mortgage rates can skyrocket.
» MORE: The difference between fixed- and variable-rate mortgages
Hybrid-rate mortgages
If you take out a hybrid-rate mortgage, a portion of your mortgage is subject to a variable rate and another portion is at a fixed rate of interest. Hybrid mortgages can dampen the impact of fluctuating interest rates in a particularly turbulent economy, but they tend to be more difficult to transfer between lenders.
Insured and uninsured mortgages
If you buy a home for under $1 million, and your down payment is less than 20% of the purchase price, you must purchase mortgage default insurance, which adds to the cost of your loan. In these cases, you’ll be getting an insured mortgage.
If your down payment is greater than 20%, or you’re buying a home where a 20% down payment is required, like an investment property or a home worth $1 million or more, insurance is not required. In this scenario, you’re getting an uninsured mortgage.
Insured mortgage rates tend to be lower than uninsured mortgage rates.
Short-term and long-term mortgages
Short-term mortgages typically last five years or less. Long-term mortgages last over five years. With a shorter term, you’ll need to renew your mortgage sooner, which can provide flexibility, but it can also increase risk if rates are trending upward as your renewal date approaches.
Closed and open mortgages
The primary difference between closed and open mortgages is that you can pay off an open mortgage whenever you like and not pay a penalty. If you have a closed mortgage and make additional payments that go beyond your pre-payment allowances, you’ll be penalized for breaking your mortgage.
Closed mortgages often offer better rates than open mortgages. But an open rate mortgage may be a good option if you think you may be able to pay off your mortgage early.
» MORE: Understanding open and closed mortgages
How New Brunswick lenders determine mortgage rates
The mortgage rate you’re offered by a lender in New Brunswick will be based on two primary factors; one based on the state of the economy and one based on your financial situation.
Economic factors
Variable mortgage rates are influenced by the Bank of Canada’s overnight rate. When the overnight rate increases or decreases, a lender’s prime rate follows suit. Variable mortgage rates are based on a lender’s prime rate, so as the prime rate rises or falls, so do variable rates.
Fixed mortgage rates are determined by activity in the government bond market, particularly the yields on one-, three- and five-year bonds. Fixed mortgage rates follow the movement of those yields.
Your financial situation
Factors specific to you also affect the rates you’re offered. These include:
- Your credit score.
- Your income.
- Your total debts.
- The loan type you choose.
- The amount you’re borrowing.
- The term length and amortization period of your loan.
Lenders look for signs of risk when assessing these aspects of your finances. The riskier they perceive you to be as a borrower, the higher the rate they’re likely to offer you.
How to qualify for a lower mortgage rate in New Brunswick
Some of the mechanisms that shape rates are beyond your control, but there are steps you can take to convince lenders to offer you the best mortgage rates. For example, you can try:
- Improving your credit score. A higher credit score generally results in better loan offers. Get a better score by eliminating existing debt and paying future bills in full and on time.
- Increasing your income. It’s not always easy, but any additional income you can earn will improve your financial position. Lenders look at your income to assess your ability to afford a mortgage.
- Decreasing your total debts. Lenders consider your total debt load when determining your mortgage rate. Pay down personal loans, student loans or other types of debts if you can.
- Consider all your mortgage options. Adjusting the loan type, term length or the amortization period of your loan could result in a better rate offer.
Factors that affect mortgage affordability in New Brunswick
A home’s price and the rate you’re offered aren’t the only factors that affect how much mortgage you can afford. You’ll also have to account for the following components, which play a role in all mortgages.
Debt service ratios
Lenders use debt service ratios to determine how much of your income goes toward paying debt. If those ratios are too high, you may not qualify for the mortgage amount you need.
Car loans, credit cards and lines of credit are all examples of debt that require regular payments. Decreasing some of these balances, or relying less heavily on credit, can help you lower your debt service ratios.
The mortgage stress test
You will have to pass the mortgage stress test if you want a home purchase funded by a federally regulated financial institution.
The rules of the stress test say you must qualify for a mortgage at a minimum qualifying rate of either 5.25% or the rate you’re offered plus 2%, whichever is higher. If a lender offers you a rate of 5%, for example, you’ll have to demonstrate you can afford the same mortgage at 7%.
You may be able to avoid the stress test if you apply for a mortgage with a lender that is not federally regulated, like a credit union.
Your down payment
Your down payment is a critically important factor in determining mortgage affordability. The more you can put down, the less you’ll need to borrow. Your monthly mortgage payment will likely be smaller, and you’ll pay less in interest.
Mortgage term
The term is the length of time your mortgage contract is valid. In Canada, mortgage terms can run anywhere from six months to as long as 10 years.
Chances are that your mortgage will have multiple terms during the amortization period until you pay it off in full. Once your mortgage term ends, you can pay your loan off in full, renew it or refinance it.
Amortization period
A mortgage’s amortization period is the time it will take to pay off the loan in full. In Canada, the most common amortization period is 25 years. If your down payment is less than 20%, you can’t have an amortization beyond 25 years.
If your down payment is greater than 20%, you may find some lenders willing to offer amortization periods of up to 35 years.
Why would you want a longer amortization period? The longer your mortgage lasts, the smaller your monthly payment will be. You’ll pay more in interest, but that might be a worthwhile trade-off if it helps you keep your home.
How to compare mortgages from New Brunswick lenders
Use APR for greater accuracy
The annual percentage rate (APR) includes fees and closing costs the lender may charge in addition to the interest rate. A lender offering the lowest rate may actually have a higher APR due to those additional costs. Comparing APRs is the easiest way to see the complete cost of each offer.
Compare similar mortgages
For a comparison to be useful, the mortgages should have the same term, amortization period and payment frequency.
When looking for the best mortgage rates in New Brunswick, also consider:
- Mortgage type.
- Ease of application.
- Prepayment penalties.
- Customer service.
- Any other fees not included in the APR.
You can also compare mortgage rates in other provinces to get a sense of how the rate you’ve been offered in New Brunswick stacks up:
Working with a mortgage calculator can help you compare different mortgages in a single place.
There’s more to mortgage shopping than the interest rate
Scoring a low mortgage rate might be a home buyer’s prime motivation, but getting the lowest rate doesn’t necessarily mean you’re getting the best mortgage for your needs.
For example, you could opt for a fixed rate, which might cost more than a variable rate, if you’re more comfortable with the certainty that your rate won’t increase during the term.
Or, if you expect to come into a sizable sum of money soon (via an inheritance, for example), paying a higher rate for an open mortgage, which allows you to pay it off early without penalties, could be worth it.
Frequently asked questions about New Brunswick mortgage rates
As of December 2024, some mortgage brokers in New Brunswick were offering five-year fixed mortgage rates for 4.14%. Three-year fixed mortgage rates were around 4.2%, while five-year variable mortgage rates were around 4.3%.
Mortgage rates have come down considerably in 2024. Three- and five-year fixed rates are nearing 4%, but may have reached their bottom for this year. Variable mortgage rates have already dropped by 125 basis points and will keep declining with every Bank of Canada rate cut.
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